Potential Tropical Cyclone Four – UPDATE #1 – 8/2/2024
University of Florida officials are actively monitoring Potential Tropical Cyclone Four. While much remains unknown, here’s what we know today:
The current tropical disturbance is currently crossing eastern Cuba and is expected to bring tropical storm conditions and heavy rains to portions of the Florida peninsula. A tropical storm warning is in effect for the southwest coast of the Florida peninsula from East Cape Sable to Bonita Beach. While the storm is a disorganized system currently, the disturbance is expected to develop once in the Florida Straits or the Southeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days.
Tropical storm conditions are expected beginning late Saturday night in the warning area and are possible in the watch area.
According to the National Hurricane Center, additional warnings and watches may be required for a portion of these areas late Friday into Saturday.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
UF units in the Peninsula, including the main campus, and Big Bend should monitor the system’s progress through the weekend and be prepared to implement plans.
UF units with operations in the watch and warning areas in central and southern Florida should follow guidance from local officials.
Additionally, no operational changes are anticipated for the UF campus in Gainesville, where potential heavy rainfall is expected beginning late Sunday into Monday. The current forecast is for 5-6 inches through Wednesday. Currently, it is uncertain if Gainesville will experience any tropical storm winds, although the latest forecasts predict that will be limited to coastal and marine areas.
We will continue to monitor and update the UF community on expected impacts as information becomes available.
Helpful Links
• National Weather Service-Jacksonville Briefing Slides
• National Hurricane Center (Forecast updates issued at 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM)
• Download the Florida Storms App for updates from UF Weather Center/FPREN
The next planned update will be on Saturday afternoon.
