Hurricane Dorian update for Thursday 8/29, 12:50 p.m.
**Hurricane Dorian Update for Thursday (8/29) at 12:50 p.m.**
At this time, UF has not cancelled classes. Any cancellation announcements will be posted on updates.emergency.ufl.edu.
All UF units in the peninsula should closely monitor the progress of Dorian and be prepared to implement their tropical weather plans late this weekend. UF units with operations outside of Alachua County should follow closures of their local government and follow advice from local officials, including evacuations.
At the 11 a.m. advisory, the center of Hurricane Dorian was located 370 miles east of the Southeastern Bahamas with maximum sustained winds of 85 mph. Conditions are favorable for continued intensification over the next several days. Rapid intensification also remains possible. Dorian is forecast to move well east of the southeastern and central Bahamas today and approach the northwestern Bahamas Saturday and Sunday before reaching Florida on Monday.
Much uncertainly remains in the forecast on exact track, which will determine local impacts. The 11 a.m. advisory brings the center of Dorian to Indian River/Brevard County coasts as Category 3 on Monday. Again, do not focus on the specific center line track due to uncertainty about the forecast for days 4 and 5.
Based upon the current forecast, the Gainesville area has a 51% chance of experiencing tropical storm force winds. This percentage is likely to increase over time. Exact rainfall amount will be determined by eventual path of the storm. Widespread areas of 5-8 inches of rainfall are expected across much of the peninsula.